Exponential Functions and Cancer:
The Bad, Better, and Good News
The bad news: Many of us have tiny cancer
mini-tumors in us right now. Some theories suggest we may even be born
with or even in the womb develop cancer cells.
Better news: But cheer up because, no one ever died of one
or two or four cancer cells. It takes about a billion cells to be just
about large enough to be detectable by, for example, a mammogram.
What matters as clarified below, the rate at which the cancer cells divide.
Three Key Numbers:
- Each "doubling" (from 1 cancer cell to 2, to 4, to 8, to 16 and so
on) can take anywhere between 25 to 1,000 days.
- One needs about 30 doublings to get to that small but
significant, detectable tumor with about 1 billion cells
- As one physician states that: it can therefore take between 2 and 100
years for a cancer cell to double and grow that large (1 billion
cells) and he's not worried about it if it's growing so slowly that
it will take about 100 years to become that lump - because he
doesn't expect to live that lone (past 100) anyway. He'd be dying
(from some other cause) just with (very small) cancer tumors in his body
not dying from cancer.
The Really good news: Relatively new research findings
suggest that adopting a healthier lifestyle (exercise and planet
based nutrition) can have significant and even very rapid effects on
that critical rate at which cancer cells divide and tumors grow.
More on that in a minute. First, a few related facts:
- According to autopsy studies in Japan, they have just as much
prostate cancer as we do in the U.S. but the rate of Japanese men
dying from prostate cancer is just one-tenth (10%) of that of
U.S. men. (unless/until they adopt SAD, the Standard American
Diet....)
This is despite the fact that Japanese men live long enough: Japan
has the longest life expectancy of any nation (not counting
sovereign "city-state" of Monaco) while the
U.S. ranks far
lower.
- When Japanese men do eventually die, however, many have tiny prostate
tumors. But the tutors were small enough that these men die "along
with" their cancers, not from their cancer. They die from other
causes before the cancer is large enough to hurt and kill them, in
other words. Again the lesson: slowing the rate of growth
can make a huge different
- By age 80, the majority of men have tiny cancerous prostate
tumors. And by age 40 one-third (33%) of women have
microscopic cancerous breast tumors. Similarly many of us today have
tiny cancerous tumors inside us but the key is: if we live by an
enjoyable but healthy lifestyle that contributes to a slow growth
rate, and slow doubling rate of the cancerous cells, we may live to
a ripe old age and eventually, die "with our cancer" from some other
causes in old age, but never die from our cancer.
- See 4:10 minutes into this 5:49 min
video here
for the exciting findings of a UCLA research team of how exercise
and a plant based diet changed the very blood composition of the
participants in just two weeks so that growth rates of cancer
cells (at least in vitro) with the blood dripped on them, were
slowed significantly. That is, the cancer grew significantly more
slowly when exposed to the blood of the women on the healthier
diet-and-exercise regimen. If that can happen in just 2 weeks,
imagine what a lifetime of healthier lifestyle might do to improve
our odds. See dramatic images a bit after the 5:00minute mark, of
how many fewer cancer cells "after" versus "before" lifestyle
changes. Or watch the entire (just under) 6 minute video, well
worth it for one's health. But first, on to the math, below!
Let's Check the math!
- First, confirm that claim that it takes "about 30
doublings" to get to 1 billion cancer cells. Try to do this in at
least two ways
You Solution:
- Recall "Fact A" - that
each "doubling" takes anywhere between 25 to 1,000 days. Now let's
check the claim that this large variation in possible doubling
times, means that the amount of time can range from "2 to 100
years" to reach that "1 billion cells" mark. Is this range of
amount of time, in years, roughly in the right ballpark?
Your Solution/analysis:
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